Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.469099 0.545907 0.630922 0.731946 0.848676 0.979279 1.136459
2025-03-02 0.335998 0.436772 0.560655 0.723901 0.933155 1.192197 1.537108
2025-03-09 0.266920 0.375542 0.519435 0.723496 1.004965 1.379083 1.913764
2025-03-16 0.213166 0.320107 0.470749 0.697627 1.029869 1.497768 2.206013
2025-03-23 0.193535 0.307260 0.476067 0.743644 1.155878 1.765508 2.734082
2025-03-30 0.162611 0.271671 0.441490 0.723536 1.178595 1.882087 3.049931
2025-04-06 0.137344 0.240493 0.408337 0.699308 1.189040 1.977446 3.339690
2025-04-13 0.117319 0.214624 0.379577 0.677149 1.198008 2.068542 3.629306
2025-04-20 0.105506 0.200999 0.369126 0.683778 1.254768 2.242534 4.074567
2025-04-27 0.099771 0.197357 0.375306 0.719853 1.366279 2.520608 4.729447
2025-05-04 0.092689 0.190090 0.373774 0.741189 1.452823 2.762659 5.344706
2025-05-11 0.084800 0.180078 0.365678 0.748735 1.513713 2.963225 5.903176
2025-05-18 0.076555 0.168437 0.353412 0.747511 1.559312 3.143396 6.450092
2025-05-25 0.068652 0.156430 0.338975 0.740261 1.592434 3.303923 6.978772
2025-06-01 0.062389 0.147021 0.328593 0.739890 1.639150 3.495610 7.590446
2025-06-08 0.054743 0.133384 0.307395 0.713451 1.627205 3.565558 7.956003
2025-06-15 0.053612 0.134611 0.318880 0.760484 1.780213 3.996590 9.137211
2025-06-22 0.047754 0.123720 0.301613 0.739932 1.779610 4.097109 9.606124
2025-06-29 0.042329 0.113091 0.283563 0.715169 1.766140 4.167258 10.013624
2025-07-06 0.037671 0.103716 0.267285 0.692521 1.754746 4.240357 10.434977
2025-07-13 0.035142 0.099524 0.263168 0.699295 1.815091 4.485185 11.285947
2025-07-20 0.034355 0.099901 0.270594 0.736168 1.954137 4.930112 12.664886
2025-07-27 0.032853 0.098089 0.272140 0.757976 2.057482 5.299231 13.896009